Predictions by Manny Pacquiao and Yordenis Ugas, probabilities: the two best bets to consider for the PPV fight card

Manny Pacquiao it will return to the ring for the first time since 2019 on Saturday night, Yordenis Ugas took on WBA welterweight champion. The fight erupted when they called for the main event from the card under Ugas to Pacquiao’s original opponent, Errol Spence Jr., who was forced to leave the card due to an eye injury.

Ugas vs Pacquiao can actually be a better fight than Pacquaio vs Spence if the box office attractiveness is less. Pacquiao remains one of the biggest stars in the sport and Ugas has proven to be one of the best fighters in the loaded welterweight division, desperately needing another chance against one of the division’s big names.

There’s nothing that can create a big night of fighting, it’s like having a little money online and Caesars Sportsbook has you covered with all the angles of Pacquiao vs Ugas to get you started on the action. We’ll give you a few options with this card to consider for the clash between the options for the main event and the underlying card that includes some well-known names. Let’s look at these options now.

Moneyline play

Robert Guerrero -150 vs. Victor Ortiz

There is no denying how strange this fight is. Guerrero and Ortiz have both been around for a decade. Guerrero has fought three times since 2017, even though he has won those fights against low-level opponents. Ortiz has not fought since February 2018, where he fought Devon Alexander to get a majority tie, giving up on Ortiz’s reputation for fighting hard.

The truth is, as they are unknown, the fight is hard. Ortiz has been out of the ring for a long time, as has Guerrero, although he has struggled more recently than Ortiz. In fact, the best option for the game is to fight away. But when Ugas called for the main event, there were little chance of fighting for the underlying cards that are dangerous.

Guerrero from -150 seems to be the safest play here. Even at his peak, Ortiz was an unstable fighter, with good actions and spectacular implosions. Guerrero has been more active and his latest scheduled fight has not been canceled due to allegations of sexual assault, as happened with Ortiz. With all of that in mind, Guerrero money is here in the theater if you’re eager to pay a little money to enjoy the circus.

Break

Manny Pacquiao vs. Yordenis Ugas vs. +120 decision

Pacquiao is nowhere near the fighter he was at his best. In fact, he may not be as good as Keith Thurman when he won the WBA welterweight title in July 2019. However, Pacquiao is an extraordinarily good fighter who is accustomed to world title fights on the big stage. Pacquaio is currently the favorite -360 to regain Ugas ’WBA title, as the WBA rose from being a“ regular ”to a“ super ”champion through a combination of Pacquiao’s inactivity and attempts to unite the three belts of the WBA. Between Ugas and Spence.

Ugas has a lot of talent and he certainly has the skills to beat Pacquiao. Ugas could have – and perhaps should – have won 12 fights. The lone loss in that span led to a decision loss split with Shawn Porter. The judges who did not give Ugas the cards against Porter are an indicator that this is a serious problem for Ugas. In his final fight, Ugas won a split decision against Abel Ramos, with scoring cards read 115-113 in Ugas twice and 117-111 in Ramos in the other. In all realities, Ugas won at the minimum 10 out of 12 rounds of that fight.

The sad reality of boxing is that close (and sometimes not so close) rounds overshadow the fighter with a bigger name and stronger promotional support. If Ugas were making the effort to get the rounds he deserved against Porter and Ramos, it’s easy to see the same thing happening against Pacquiao. It is enough to put a little value on Pacquaio’s already attractive line through the +120 decision.