Jermell Charlo vs Brian Castano fight forecast, ticket, odds, start time, how to watch, preview

Jermell Charlo and Brian Castaño aside from the incredibly remarkable games at stake in the junior middleweight crown to crown the first undisputed four-belt champion on Saturday, the best part of this 154-pound duel is the contrasts of styles.

Charlo (34-1, 18 KOs), a 31-year-old Houston-born, is a dangerous counterattack with the perfect balance of speed and power. However, he will be defending his WBA, WBC and IBF titles this weekend at the AT&T Center in San Antonio (Show time, 9 p.m. ET) against a completely different animal in Castaño (17-0-1, 12 KOs), a 31-year-old WBO Argentine champion who never takes a step back.

The hope of fireworks between the two champions is the most appealing, not to mention the fact that a fighter can have a specific style that is capable of turning Kryptonite into an opponent.

“I’m much stronger than me and I’m much faster. I feel like I’m ready,” Charlok said at last Thursday’s press conference. “It’s not just power – I have power in both hands and power in every touch, from all angles. But I’m happy to be in front of another champion at the moment. This isn’t just another opponent. I know he has a game plan and we’ll figure out what to do on Saturday.”

Although Charlo becomes the most athletic and explosive fighter between the two, Castaño is much more aggressive and enjoys the challenge of getting inside the opponent’s jab to attack the body and work from the inside out.

The thing that distinguishes Castaño from the grind that often separates him is that he is much more responsible on defense, however, if the opening is there, he is ready to go to the finish at any point.

“In doing so, if I have to lower the punch output to give things more strength, I will,” Castaño said. “We have to fight the war on Saturday. I will not disappoint and I guarantee you will enjoy this fight. I assure you that you will see the whole war and I will be victorious.”

The main concern that will come to Charlo is that he doesn’t admire his work too much if he has to prove that he isn’t capable of finishing Castaño in the first half of the fight.

Although he is very effective in his start, the problem has often become for Carlo, he doesn’t throw enough fights to leave no doubt on the score cards. Achilles’ heel has been to some extent Charlo’s and is likely to be responsible for his only failure; The loss against Tony Harrison in 2018 was debated in another tight fight that left Charlo without hesitation the following year. until it is completed through its activity.

The statistics only support that growth trend, with Charlo only trying to do 36.2 punches in each round, according to CompuBox, which is the third most active fighter. The 10.4 punches scored are the fourth lowest among those in play.

On the other hand, Castaño doubles the average number of shots fired per Charlo round (84.3), which is 28 more than the average weight. Castaño also doubled Charlo in the playoffs on the 23rd, with 20.2 of them power shots.

Fight card, probability

• Jermell Charlo (c) -240 vs. Brian Castaño (c) +200, junior middleweight combined titles
• Rolando Romero vs. Anthony Yigit +300, lightweight
• Amilcar Vidal -490 vs. Immanuwel Aleem +370, medium weights

Forecast

Based on the aforementioned data, if Carlo does not pick up the pace against Castaño, he could be in a rough awakening if he proves that the fight in the hands of the judges is competitive. Due to Castaño’s resilience and perseverance, this is a very possible outcome.

However, what the statistical comparison doesn’t take into account is how good Charlo is on defense and how the threat of his power undermines the opponent’s result because of that. In addition, Castaño is also taking a pretty big step in this class fight, following a win against Wale Omotoso and Patrick Teixeira, the latter of whom won the WBO title.

Castaño’s toughest test to date was Erislandy Lara’s title when Erislandy Lara won an exciting draw in 2019 and a great draw in the competition, which was to blame for her only career in 2019. The fight proved that Castaño could fight globally, but it also came from within the start. He saw that Lara was less dependent on his feet and ready to stand up and negotiate out of necessity on a late career slide.

Charlo, at the height of his physical condition, enters into this struggle for Castaño as a far more dangerous threat to Lara than at the time. And it will be necessary for his coup to be active and at the point if Castaño expects to pay for progress.

Very few opponents have been able to withstand a long body attack against Charles, given his danger as an opposing sniper. Charlo must fight this fight to make sure Castaño is prevented from getting into his possession, how comfortable the Argentine is in a close attack on two fists.

As long as Charlok can keep Castaño away from his blow and keep the threat from his right hand, Charlo should win because of his overall skill advantages. If that weren’t enough, Carlo would be in legal danger of being able to slow down as Castaño goes to his body and possibly be in a position to be allowed to enter the playoffs.

Charlo has more than enough tools to do the job, but he will need the right mindset to match them. That is, to be an attacker and to discipline the opponent as soon as possible, in order to avoid the arrangements they may see behind Castaño.

Jermall Charlo, the undefeated WBC middleweight champion and Jermell’s brother, faced the exact challenge of Sergiy Derevyanchenko last fall and passed a difficult test based on his heavy and intelligent jab to respond to any potential flooding that his opponent could cause. Jermell will have to do the same or the judges will risk more than the craft of the joint champion in favor of Castaño’s attack.

Choose: Charlo via MD12