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The Scottish National Party he was well on his way to remaining the largest parliamentary party in Holyrood on Saturday, but it looks like he will miss out on winning a majority of 129 seats in the chamber.
The pro-independence SNP won 59 of the 70 seats in the first constituency declared on Saturday evening, but was unable to take the marginal targets that were considered essential for a majority in a proportionately represented parliament.
The fourth Scottish parliamentary election victory for the SNP means it will continue in the Edinburgh government with a strong platform to push for a second referendum on UK independence.
However, it is likely that the Conservative government in the UK failed to win by a majority SNP as a reason to refuse to accept the re-election in 2014. 55-45 per cent of Scots stayed in the union.
Nicola Sturgeon, head of the SNP and prime minister of Scotland, said it had always been “a very, very long shot” to get a majority in parliament where his party is proportionally representative, a feat previously only managed in 2011. minority government in the last five years.
“I am very pleased and very confident that we will continue in the SNP for the fourth consecutive election victory and have the ability to form a government again,” Sturgeon told the BBC in a count in Glasgow on Friday.
Analysts have said that even in the absence of a majority SNP, Scottish Green pro-independence activists are almost certain that more than half of Holyrood MSPs will get enough seats to reject another referendum.
Sturgeon has repeatedly stressed that the UK government’s refusal to accept another independence vote will not be sustainable if it is general support for a majority in Holyrood.
Scottish Deputy Prime Minister John Swinney has said UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson “should only accept democracy in Scotland” if the majority of the MSP is in favor of another referendum.
“It simply came to our notice then. That’s what the people of Scotland will vote for, ”Swinney told the BBC on Saturday.
Johnson suggested in January that Westminster should not accept another referendum until at least the 2050s. In one interview with The Telegraph The newspaper, published on Saturday, did not give details of his intentions to the prime minister, but he believed the referendum would be “irresponsible and irresponsible” in the “current context”.
The final balance of the 56 MSPs selected through the seats on the regional list was due to be announced on Saturday, after the last seats in the constituency were declared.
Although he won some key seats, the hopes of the majority were dealt a severe blow when the SNP’s tactical votes in favor of the Conservative Party helped Labor maintain Dumbarton’s marginal east of Scotland. In West Aberdeenshire, supporters of the Liberal Democrats helped the Tory defend the SNP challenge.
John Curtice, a professor of politics at Strathclyde University, said the results in West Aberdeenshire have made it clear that the SNP will not repeat the 2011 feat of winning the Holyrood majority. “The road to 65 [seats] it is now clearly closed, ”Curtic told the BBC.
But the better performance of the Scottish Greens suggested that Holyrood would have a larger majority to leave the UK for a second referendum. “The majority in favor of independence in the next parliament will be slightly fatter,” said Scottish public opinion adviser Mark Diffley.
Analysts say Labor may not have been able to beat the Conservatives despite being the largest opposition party in Scotland, despite what was once thought to be a good campaign for the new left-wing leader Anas Sarwar.
Sarwar nearly doubled his vote in the Glasgow Southside constituency, but easily defeated Sturgeon, the MSP incumbent. But the new leader stressed that he was making strides in changing his work on the “project”.
“Compared to when we took that job 10 weeks ago, it’s a great change,” he said.
Participation across Scotland on Thursday was higher than in 2016, despite bad weather and snow in some parts of the country and many observers say the campaign has been relatively poor.
In Scottish parliamentary elections, voters have two votes, and the fortunes of small parties determine what is given to the regional party lists.
According to constituency votes, it was suggested that the new pro-independence party Alba, which was run by former SNP prime minister Alex Salmond – was only on the regional lists – would not get a single seat.
Salmond said kind bloggers in a video call He was in a “bad mood” after losing his seat in Westminster in 2017. But the former SNP leader stressed that Alba would remain the home of pro-independence supporters who were “concerned” that Sturgeon had not pressured the case to disappoint the UK.
Graphics by Cale Tilford, Max Harlow, Joanna S Kao and Steven Bernard
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